Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 1.101292 1.328944 1.570616 1.844312 2.143796 2.459824 2.816839
2024-11-03 0.845371 1.164660 1.527391 1.961772 2.460306 3.007936 3.648613
2024-11-10 0.720058 1.089755 1.529499 2.074939 2.718877 3.442416 4.305035
2024-11-17 0.623587 1.031716 1.538005 2.185369 2.967763 3.862968 4.946109
2024-11-24 0.524045 0.950974 1.503325 2.230288 3.127934 4.171712 5.450922
2024-12-01 0.428784 0.860771 1.444930 2.236262 3.233792 4.411403 5.871755
2024-12-08 0.327762 0.745313 1.340225 2.172508 3.245233 4.531843 6.146797
2024-12-15 0.246455 0.644449 1.243915 2.110057 3.250562 4.638940 6.401134
2024-12-22 0.188439 0.569338 1.175133 2.076798 3.286835 4.778924 6.690773
2024-12-29 0.155697 0.532073 1.157622 2.110140 3.406605 5.020333 7.102175
2025-01-05 0.123616 0.488585 1.125870 2.120131 3.493407 5.219186 7.460932
2025-01-12 0.090908 0.434331 1.071266 2.093258 3.528221 5.350611 7.735589
2025-01-19 0.085745 0.445002 1.128141 2.236520 3.802719 5.799805 8.420810
2025-01-26 0.078731 0.449894 1.175737 2.367816 4.063915 6.235990 9.095266
2025-02-02 0.072045 0.453561 1.220201 2.493812 4.317553 6.662419 9.757720
2025-02-09 0.065602 0.456176 1.262364 2.616541 4.567480 7.085339 10.417658
2025-02-16 0.052148 0.433462 1.257276 2.666373 4.716490 7.378323 10.915811
2025-02-23 0.037185 0.398079 1.225521 2.673001 4.804222 7.591386 11.313711
2025-03-02 0.020468 0.341360 1.146994 2.602259 4.780633 7.657602 11.525462
2025-03-09 0.009407 0.290626 1.072623 2.532878 4.755122 7.718472 11.728201
2025-03-16 0.003759 0.253943 1.021016 2.495894 4.772201 7.832261 11.995003
2025-03-23 0.001778 0.239206 1.014822 2.532970 4.895779 8.087246 12.442289
2025-03-30 0.000429 0.219155 0.994057 2.544076 4.980699 8.290358 12.823202